Weekly Market Summary 5 – 9 April 2021

My Bookmarksclose
You have no bookmarks currently
    Weekly Market Summary 5 – 9 April 2021
    Weekly Market Summary 5 – 9 April 2021
    12 April 2021

    Key Highlights

    • Dow and S&P 500 notched new highs on further optimism over recovery
    • Risk-on mood may get further lift from US earnings reports
    • Sentiments in Asia mar by virus surges and Alibaba crackdown

    The major Wall Street indices closed the week (5-9 April) on new highs amid rising optimism over US reopening and economic recovery as recent jitters over rising bond yields took a back seat.

    The Dow ended the week 2% higher at a record closing 33,800; the S&P 500 rose by 2.7% to 4,128 after chalking a third straight record close on Friday for its best week since early February; while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 3.1% to 13,900 as the Big Tech stocks rallied – Apple by more than 8% and both Amazon and Alphabet gaining more than 6%.

    Both techs and stocks linked to the recovering economy led gains amid accelerating US vaccine rollouts even as the producer price index (PPI) rose by 1.0% in March which was above expectations of a 0.4% rise. Year-on-year, the PPI was up 4.2%, the biggest annual jump in more than nine years.

    While 10-year Treasury yields ticked slightly higher to 1.66% following the PPI data, yields had already retreated earlier in the week from recent highs at 1.77% after the US Fed chairman, Jerome Powell noted on Thursday that US recovery from the pandemic remained “uneven,” signaling that it will need a more robust recovery before the central bank consider any rates hikes.

    Minutes from the central bank’s March FOMC policy meeting released last Wednesday also showed that policymakers were not overly concerned over any sustained rebound in inflation and remained committed to keeping an accommodative stance until employment fully recovers from the pandemic fallout.

    For now, investors seem to be looking past recent inflation concerns as long as economic growth remains robust and the Fed keeps its dovish stance on funds rates, especially after an uptick in new US jobless claims for the second week in a row. The Fed has said on numerous occasions it would stay its dovish course until the unemployment numbers are more stable.

    Meanwhile, credit card data from the Bank of America showed a 67% year-on-year rise in spending for the week ended April 3, fueled by Covid stimulus cheques and re-openings. The bank estimates that Americans have some $3.5 trillion in bank accounts from the Biden stimulus cheques and savings which should start flowing into the reopening economy. Economists now expect US second-quarter growth to expand by 10% with growth for 2021 exceeding 6.5% and that of the pre-pandemic era extending to 2023.

    The possibility that jobless claims will reverse course and decline this week will likely keep risk-on sentiments intact as the earnings reporting season – starting with banks – gets underway this week, which will give a clearer indication of profits this year.

    According to FactSet Research, overall earnings for the S&P 500 should improve by 24.5% from the pandemic-hit second quarter a year ago, with financial sector earnings expected to rise by nearly 80% on-year.

    The same level of market optimism on Wall Street may not be as strong in Asia due to vaccine shortages and resurgent virus cases in countries like Japan, India, Thailand and the Philippines.

    Some investors are already shying away from big moves in Chinese stocks which has seen the CSI 300 Index backtracked by more than 13% from its recent 13-year high in February. The fact that Chinese regulators have slapped a record anti-trust fine of 18 billion yuan (US$2.75 billion) on the Alibaba Group – which is about 4% of its 2019 revenues – may also cast a further pall over other Chinese tech and e-commerce companies.

    That’s on top of worries over tightening of liquidity by the Chinese authorities and a potential slowing down or pullback in supportive state policies, especially after the March PPI for China hit a 2-year high, which may hurt the nation’s exporters.

     

    This publication shall not be copied or disseminated, or relied upon by any person for whatever purpose. The information herein is given on a general basis without obligation and is strictly for information only. This publication is not an offer, solicitation, recommendation or advice to buy or sell any investment product, including any collective investment schemes or shares of companies mentioned within. Although every reasonable care has been taken to ensure the accuracy and objectivity of the information contained in this publication, UOB Asset Management Ltd ("UOBAM") and its employees shall not be held liable for any error, inaccuracy and/or omission, howsoever caused, or for any decision or action taken based on views expressed or information in this publication. The information contained in this publication, including any data, projections and underlying assumptions are based upon certain assumptions, management forecasts and analysis of information available and reflects prevailing conditions and our views as of the date of this publication, all of which are subject to change at any time without notice. Please note that the graphs, charts, formulae or other devices set out or referred to in this document cannot, in and of itself, be used to determine and will not assist any person in deciding which investment product to buy or sell, or when to buy or sell an investment product. UOBAM does not warrant the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness or completeness of the information herein for any particular purpose, and expressly disclaims liability for any error, inaccuracy or omission. Any opinion, projection and other forward-looking statement regarding future events or performance of, including but not limited to, countries, markets or companies is not necessarily indicative of, and may differ from actual events or results. Nothing in this publication constitutes accounting, legal, regulatory, tax or other advice. The information herein has no regard to the specific objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific person. You may wish to seek advice from a professional or an independent financial adviser about the issues discussed herein or before investing in any investment or insurance product. Should you choose not to seek such advice, you should consider carefully whether the investment or insurance product in question is suitable for you.

    Stay up-to-date with our latest investment insights

    Sign up now